انجمن مخاطره شناسی ایرانمدیریت مخاطرات محیطی2423-415X5420181222Synoptic Analysis of Hail Hazard in Bojnoord City, Iranواکاوی همدید مخاطرۀ تگرگ در شهرستان بجنورد3393587035410.22059/jhsci.2019.273487.431FAسعیدبازگیراستادیار و عضو هیأت علمی گروه جغرافیای طبیعی، دانشکدۀ جغرافیا، دانشگاه تهرانعلیرضاایلدرمیدانشیار و عضو هیأت علمی گروه مرتع و آبخیزداری، دانشکدۀ منابع طبیعی و محیط زیست، دانشگاه ملایر.قربانصابردانشجوی دکتری پژوهشکدۀ انگور و کشمش، دانشگاه ملایر.احمدارشادیدانشیار و عضو هیأت علمی گروه علوم باغبانی، دانشکدۀ کشاورزی، دانشگاه بوعلی سینای همدان.حمیدنوریاستادیار و عضو هیأت علمی گروه مرتع و آبخیزداری، دانشکدۀ منابع طبیعی و محیط زیست، دانشگاه ملایر.Journal Article20190109Hail is one of the most important atmospheric phenomenon, which occurred during Spring and Fall seasons due to atmospheric instability caused by cumulonimbus clouds and severe thunder storms. The most damages in agricultural sector is due to hail, which caused lost in horticultural and agronomy productions each year. In order to investigate synoptic mechanism on hail occurrence conditions, a cluster analysis was performed according to Bojnoord weather station data. To perform classification and subsequent calculations, the sea level pressure (SLP) and the geopotential height of 500 hPa for 26 days were extracted using programming in the Grad's software. Regarding the mechanism and performance of atmospheric systems in creating hail phenomena in the area, four patterns were identified in the formation of the hail, including: 1) low pressure in the Caspian Sea; 2) low pressure in Pakistan and high pressure in Azores; 3) high pressure Caspian Sea and low pressure in Saudi Arabia; and 4) high pressure in north of the Caspian Sea and Low Pressure of Pakistan. The results showed that the months of April and may had the most hail cases during the studied period. Overall, formation of low and high pressure systems in north and south of the region and enforcement of meridional flows cause a moisture advection from the Gulf of Oman and Caspian Sea in geopotential heights of 850 and 700 hPa. In addition, falling cold air from upper latitudes and lifting of warm air cause a gradient temperature on the area and hence occurrence of hail phenomenon. The region experience more hail phenomenon when low pressure in Pakistan and high pressure in Azores were dominant on the area.تگرگ یکی از مخاطرات جوی است که بهسبب ناپایداریهای جوی توسط ابرهای کومولونیمبوس و فعالیت شدید توفانهای تندری بیشتر در فصلهای بهار و پاییز رخ میدهد. بیشترین خسارت، ناشی از بارش تگرگ در بخش کشاورزی است که همهساله مقدار زیادی از محصولات باغی و زراعی در اثر این پدیدۀ مخرب از بین میرود. در این مطالعه بهمنظور بررسی و تحلیل همدید سازوکار مؤثر بر شرایط رخداد تگرگ در شهرستان بجنورد از روش تحلیل خوشهای طی دورۀ آماری (1396- 1356) استفاده شده است. چهار الگو در شکلگیری تگرگ شناسایی شد: 1. کمفشار دریای خزر؛ 2. کمفشار پاکستان/ پرفشار آزور؛ 3. پرفشار دریای خزر/ کمفشار عربستان؛ 4. پرفشار شمال دریای خزر/ کمفشار پاکستان. نتایج نشان داد که بیشترین فراوانی پدیدۀ تگرگ در ماههای فروردین و اردیبهشت در منطقه رخ داده است. در یک جمعبندی میتوان گفت تشکیل سامانههای کمفشار و پرفشار در شمال و جنوب منطقه و تقویت جریانهای نصفالنهاری روی منطقه که سبب فرارفت رطوبت دریاهای عمان و خزر در ترازهای 850 و 700 هکتوپاسکال میشود در بیشتر الگوها سبب تقویت حرکات صعودی و جو ناپایدار و تشکیل پدیده تگرگ شده است. از طرف دیگر ریزش هوای سرد عرضهای بالا و صعود هوای گرم عرضهای پایین روی منطقه در تشدید شیو دمایی و تقویت صعود روی منطقه از دیگر عوامل رخداد تگرگ بوده است. همچنین بیشترین رخداد تگرگ زمانی رخ داد که الگوی کمفشار پاکستان و پرفشار آزور بر منطقه استیلا داشتهاند.https://jhsci.ut.ac.ir/article_70354_26656eb51b9534d77ca1a830a20de5c8.pdfانجمن مخاطره شناسی ایرانمدیریت مخاطرات محیطی2423-415X5420181222Hazards Identification and Analysis of the Rural Settlements of Aladagh Rural District in Bojnourd Townshipشناسایی و تحلیل مخاطرات سکونتگاههای روستایی دهستان آلاداغ شهرستان بجنورد3593797082710.22059/jhsci.2019.272188.423FAتیمورجعفریاستادیار گروه جغرافیا و برنامهریزی شهری دانشکدۀ علوم انسانی دانشگاه کوثر بجنورد.0000-0001-7713-2982Journal Article20181224Abstract: <br />This research was carried out in Aladagh rural district of Bojnourd township with 801 KM<sup>2</sup> area and more than 35 villages, that have been tried be studied its villages environmental and geomorphological problems. in order to understand the rural hazards, important and relevant characteristics contains population, topography, hydrography, geology, climatology and geomorphology are separately investigated. Then, and information is set up in maps and tables. The results show that environmental studies and geomorphology are required in rural planning. Nnatural and geomorphologic hazards on rural settlements in the region in terms of the energy flow have been investigated in terms of the energy flow in both inland and outland groups. The studied area in terms of risk factors for internal processes including earthquakes it is a part of a high riskhigh-risk area. Exogenous hazardous processes includinge the occurrence of landslides, fallings, floods and drought effects of the environment. <br />After getting acquainted with the demographic characteristics, it was found that, unlike many points, the second and third densely populated villages are the highest villages between villages of rural district, which on the other hand, this characteristic reflects the role of morphogenic processes in creating the proper platform for the development of villages and on the other hand their risk indicator. Tthe villages of the region are located in two zones consisting of mountainous and plain lands. Iin the mountain part, on one hand the high slope, on the one hand, it has been acting as a limiting factor for the rural zone and on the other hand, it has played a role in the formation of slope processes such aslike landslide and rock falls. In addition to raising the groundwater level, llow slope in the downstream part of between the mountain plain, and in addition to raising the groundwater level, flooding the rivers and leading tocausing special damage to farms and buildings when falling down, has led. Firouzeh and Bazkhaneh rivers are the main arteries of the region, which the life of a large number of villages in this rural district, depends on their flow in the countryside of them. the presence of active faults and lithology conditions makes the earthquake occurrence of high intensity and high risk. about Near 21 villages are located adjacent to the fault line. Mmost important slope movements in this region include landslide and rockfall. Tthe establishment of the Reain, Arkan, Taraghie kord and Darsoufian villages on the basis of pebbleof pebble sandstone with clay, marly and evaporative sediments in the upper part, has activated landslide outer process. Oon the other hand, the effects of positive tectonics in the mountainous region and the presence of calcareous and dolomitic height maker formations has activated the process of rockfall in the Paghaleh, Kaykay, Taraghie kord, Darsoufian, Rakhtian and Arkan villages. Tthe proximity of the villages with main and subsidiary waterways and their connection point and also the steep slopes overlooking them, has exposed the flood phenomenon as a risk factor for the population of about 17 villages in the southern, central and northern parts of the region. In the southern part of the rural district, newly built residential units, agricultural lands and roads of Dartoum, Gerivan, Rakhtian and Hesare hosseinie, in central part Khoshmanzar, Mataranlou, down Mehnan, Gharehbashlou, Marz, Kalatehnaghie and Taraghie kord villages and in the southern part Sandalabad, Hamzanlou, Allahverdikhan, Khodagholie, Malkesh and Borj villages are influenced by sudden floods. Ddrought is one of the damaging problems of the villages in recent years. Tthe annual rainfall data of the synoptic meteorological station of Bojnourd in the period of 30 years up leading to to 2017 indicates a gradual decrease in rainfall. In particular, precipitation has dropped dramatically from the long-term average of 30 years (247.2 mm) from 2010 to 2017, and the average of these 8 years has reached 205.5 mm. Tthis process has led to the formation of semi-arid conditions in the area of a large number of rural settlements in this region. <br />Based on this research, the primary nucleus and central space of most villages have a suitable location for environmental hazards and most of the dangers are on non-standard constructional outside the villages, farms and agricultural lands, which requires more attention from the residents, and Bonyade Maskan, Jehade Keshavarzie and Abe Mantaghehie experts. Therefore, considering the appropriate environmental conditions of the region and the role of villages in the production, with a little investment in the biological and welfare aspects of these villages, in particular the Tarhe hadie, hydrologic structures and their roads, their biological attractions will increase and we will see the optimal use of the natural resources of this region. <br /><br /> <br /> <br /><br /><strong>چکیده</strong><br /> بهدلیل اهمیت روستا و روستانشینی در ایران و خراسان شمالی، توجه به مشکلات محیطی و برنامهریزی در فضاهای زیستی و مزروعی روستاها الزامی است. از مشکلات روستاها، مخاطرات عدیدهای است که سکونتگاهها و امکانات زیستی آنها را تحت تأثیر قرار میدهد. مقر روستاها اغلب در معرض تهدید عوامل مختلف طبیعی است که در مواردی آسایش زیست را از روستانشینان سلب میکند. منطقۀ انتخابی در این بررسی، دهستان آلاداغ از توابع بخش مرکزی در جنوب غربی شهرستان بجنورد است که سعی شده مسائل محیطی و ژئومورفولوژی روستاهای آن بررسی شود. وضعیت توپوگرافی بهعنوان بستر و پهنۀ استقرار و توسعۀ روستاهای تحت بررسی، دارای شرایط متفاوتی است. تعدادی از آنها در بخش کوهستانی قرار دارند که اغلب مسائلی متفاوت با روستاهای واقع در بخش دشتی دارند. بهمنظور آشنایی با مخاطرات روستاها، ویژگیهای مهم و مرتبط جمعیتی، توپوگرافی، هیدروگرافی، زمینشناسی، آبوهواشناسی و ژئومورفولوژی به تفکیک بررسی و اطلاعات مربوط در نقشهها و جدولهایی تنظیم شده است. مخاطرات طبیعی و ژئومورفولوژی در خصوص سکونتگاههای روستایی منطقه در دو گروه درونزمینی و برونزمینی بررسی شده است. منطقۀ تحت بررسی از نظر عوامل خطرآفرین فرایندهای درونی شامل زمینلرزه جزء منطقۀ پرخطر است. فرایندهای بیرونی مخاطرهآمیز شامل رخداد پدیدههای زمینلغزش، ریزش، سیلاب و اثرهای خشکی محیط است. مواردی از این خطر در تعدادی از روستاها بهطور تفصیلی بررسی و در پایان ویژگیهای عوامل مورفوژنز منفی و مثبت مربوط به روستاهای منطقه به تفکیک مطالعه و اطلاعات حاصل در جدول ارائه شده است. نتایج نشان میدهد که در بین عوامل آندوژنیکی، زلزله؛ و از نظر عوامل اگزوژنیکی، خشکسالی و سیلاب خطرهای عمدهای هستند که روستاهای مذکور را تهدید میکنند.https://jhsci.ut.ac.ir/article_70827_6abaadc3512876cd53820926666e15c5.pdfانجمن مخاطره شناسی ایرانمدیریت مخاطرات محیطی2423-415X5420181222Designing Organizational Factors Affecting Knowledge Transfer Model Aimed at Reducing Environmental Hazards in Iranian Oil and Gas Projectsطراحی مدل عوامل سازمانی مؤثر بر انتقال دانش با هدف کاهش مخاطرات محیطی در پروژههای صنعت نفتوگاز ایران3814007082910.22059/jhsci.2019.269712.420FAفریباشعلهدانشجو دکتری مدیریت پروژه و ساخت، دانشکده هنرهای زیبا، دانشگاه تهران، تهران، ایرانمحمودگلابچیاستاد دانشکدۀ هنرهای زیبا، دانشگاه تهران، تهران، ایران.سیامکحاجی یخچالیاستادیار دانشکدۀ مهندسی صنایع، دانشگاه تهران، تهران، ایران.Journal Article20181027Abstract
Despite the potential threats to the environment, the oil industry plays a positive role in society. Knowledge transfer not only plays a significant role in knowledge process, but also helps the oil and gas industry to reduce their environmental impact with improvement in their operational efficiency. Sharing of knowledge, information, and practices across cultural and national boundaries has become a means to address critical global problems. This paper explores oil and gas industry projects and identifies the critical organizational factors that affect knowledge transfer and influence their performance. The paper concludes with a conceptual model that accounts for the relationships among these factors that can guide further research in understanding knowledge and information transfer across national and cultural boundaries.
Introduction
The oil industry holds a major potential of hazards for the environment, and may impact it at different levels. Despite its potential threats to the environment, the oil industry plays a positive role in society as well. It is still necessary to find ways to conciliate industry development, especially active organizations in this industry, with environmental protection. Organizations have the most essential effects in forming and directing the behavior of their staffs. Advances in modern societies have led to more consideration of knowledge management by organizations. Knowledge transfer plays a significant role in knowledge process. Besides, it helps the oil and gas industries to improve their operational efficiency and so reduce their environmental impact. There are various effective factors in knowledge transfer. These factors are generally related to individuals, organizations, and technology. Based on previous studies (Mei et al., 2007; Hassandoust et al., 2001; Wickramasinghe & Widyaratne, 2012), the effective factors can be divided into two main categories named content and context. Though in the literature that are many studies which have been focused on the different factors affecting knowledge transfer, limited studies have examined the organizational factors, and there are still many challenges to understanding the essential organizational factors which affect the knowledge transfer procedure in an industrial organization, company or group. This paper focuses on this type of factors, which affects knowledge transfer, from both theoretical and empirical viewpoints. We provide an integrative conceptual framework for organizing the literature on effective organizational factors for knowledge transfer. Most top ten effective factors are identified from the questionnaires filled out by 137 experts from Iranian oil and gas companies. The obtained results reveal that organizational culture, organizational relationships and reward system have the most significant influence on the knowledge transfer. Besides, we provided effective solutions for the organizations to improve their knowledge transfer process. Our findings can help practitioners develop a more focused approach in dealing with the most significant factors.
Materials and methods
Regarding the lack of theoretical point of views, complete and better frameworks is essential to summery and conduct all organizational factors which are most effective in a knowledge transfer process. In this research, it would be realized by answering the following research question.
<em>Research Question:</em> What are the most important organizational factors in knowledge transfer within projects?
The paper develops a conceptual framework for the analysis of knowledge flow transfers in projects. Based on this theoretical framework, the paper proposes research hypotheses and builds a causal model that links the constructs of the model. The organizational factors regarding knowledge transfer in general are summed up from literature and then the issue is studied by conducting a survey in companies. Participants of the study included well-known and successful oil and gas companies. Using in-depth data from Iranian oil and Gas Company, we study the role of organizational factors in knowledge transfer.
Discussion and Results
Based on a systematic investigation of effective factors in knowledge transfer currently available in the literature, a common frame of reference for knowledge transfer development is developed. This frame of reference consists of thirteen organizational factors. Besides, it will provide a good departure point for future work in knowledge transfer, both academically and practically. These factor including organizational structures, reward system, leadership characteristic, organizational culture, organization commitment, motivation, management support, strategy, organization relationship, training, opportunities to share, control mechanism and team orientation. These factors have investigated in oil and gas projects and it has been identified that 11 items of mentioned factors are effective on transferring knowledge and there is a direct relationship between them. Organizations should attempt to maximize the effect of these factors in order to increase knowledge transfer rate.
Organizational culture has been identified as the most important factor in knowledge transfer. All organizations have personalities as people do and characteristics such as flexibility, innovation, and more. In order to more success, an organization should implement the knowledge orientation culture, such that providing knowledge becomes institutionalized. The second identified priority is the organizational relationship. In order to succeed in knowledge transferring, organizations should create this motivation in their employees. Cash, non-cash, and organizational position lead to better performance of employees in knowledge transfer. Organizations can achieve the best response from their employees by proper defining their reward system. Among the factors studied, it was found that training and team orientations would not have a significant effect on the knowledge transfer in the projects. In addition, despite the positive effects of team works, this factor will not be lonely a motivator for more knowledge transfer. Organizations, with Strengthening and planning on effective organizational factors in knowledge transfer, can prepare the workplace so that knowledge transfer and sharing can be greatly increased.
Conclusion
Organizations have essential effects in forming and directing the behavior of their staffs. Today, most behaviors of the staffs have an organizational origin. This paper aims to identify the most effective organizational factors in knowledge transfer process in order to reduce environmental hazards in oil and gas projects. we developed a conceptual model and hypotheses to verify the role of organizational factors in knowledge transfer. The results reveal that organizational culture, organizational relationships, and reward system have the most significant influence on the knowledge transfer.صنعت نفتوگاز تأثیر زیادی بر محیط زیست دارد و فرایندهای احداث و بهرهبرداری از پروژههای نفتوگاز از مهمترین عوامل انسانی مؤثر بر محیط زیست است. پژوهش حاضر به بررسی عوامل مؤثر در انتقال دانش در سازمانها بهعنوان راهکاری برای کاهش مخاطرات محیطی در پروژههای صنعت نفتوگاز میپردازد. سازمانها مهمترین ارکان را در شکلدهی و جهتدهی رفتار کارکنان خود دارند و امروزه بسیاری از رفتارهای کارکنان منشأ سازمانی دارد. با پیشرفت جوامع امروزی، مدیریت دانش بیش از پیش مورد توجه سازمانها قرار گرفته است. در فرایند جریان دانش، انتقال دانش تأثیر بسزایی دارد. انتقال نادرست دانش در سازمانها ممکن است به مخاطرات زیستمحیطی و اجتماعی گستردهای منجر شود. عوامل متعددی در انتقال دانش مؤثرند که یکی از تأثیرگذارترین آنها، شاخصهای مربوط به سازمان است. تمرکز این پژوهش بر شناسایی عوامل سازمانی مؤثر در انتقال دانش است. رویکرد پژوهش حاضر کمّی است و از راهبرد پژوهشی توصیفی نیز استفاده میکند. جامعۀ آماری، شرکتهای فعال در حوزۀ نفتوگاز است و گردآوری دادهها به استفاده از مصاحبه و پرسشنامه انجام گرفته است. بررسیها و تحلیلها بیانگر یازده عامل تأثیرگذار در انتقال دانش در سازمانها از جمله فرهنگ سازمانی، روابط سازمانی و سیستم پاداش است. همچنین براساس یافتهها، سازمانها میتوانند بستر خود را بهمنظور انتقال هرچه بیشتر دانش، با هدف کاهش مخاطرات زیستی در حین اجرای پروژههای صنعت نفتوگاز بهبود بخشند.https://jhsci.ut.ac.ir/article_70829_c7ec7661e9aea047b59c356587806ff1.pdfانجمن مخاطره شناسی ایرانمدیریت مخاطرات محیطی2423-415X5420181222Geomorphologic Heritage Assessment of Khorramabad City for Urban Geotourism Development and Conservation against Human Hazardsارزیابی میراث ژئومورفولوژیک شهر خرمآباد بهمنظور توسعۀ ژئوتوریسم شهری و حفاظت در برابر مخاطرات انسانی4014157090110.22059/jhsci.2019.276510.446FAابراهیممقیمیاستاد گروه جغرافیای طبیعی، دانشکدۀ جغرافیا، دانشگاه تهران.منصورجعفربیگلودانشیار گروه جغرافیای طبیعی، دانشکده جغرافیا، دانشگاه تهرانمجتبییمانیاستاد گروه جغرافیای طبیعی، دانشکده جغرافیا، دانشگاه تهرانفاطمهمرادی پوردانشجوی دکتری ژئومورفولوژی، دانشکده جغرافیا، دانشگاه تهرانJournal Article20190221Abstract
In recent years, the ideas of urban geomorphologic heritage and urban geotourism have become very important among scientists and specialists. While, the human hazards affecting the natural environment of cities have damaged, destroyed ,and threatened urban geomorphological heritage. Therefore, the assessment of the urban geomorphological heritage and suggestion a conservation program is a basic necessity for development stable urban geotourism and is the main goal of this research. This study was conducted as a case in Khorramabad city. This research has been conducted with an innovative and integrated approach by combining fieldwork, quantitative assessment of geomorphological heritage, and investigation of damage and destruction factors and, finally offered a conservation program for the first time. Research data are mainly provided through fieldwork, image resources and subjective maps. The tools used include subjective maps, field tools and ARC GIS 10.6 software. For data analysis, the Pica et al. (2017) model has been used to geomorphosites assessment and fieldwork done to check human hazards affecting them and presented a conservation program. The results showed that among 33 geomorphosites, Falakolaflak hill with 25, Makhmalkuh with 24 and Shabikhun cluse with 22 score, gained the highest scores for the development of urban geotourism. Among the threatening hazards of geomorphological heritage, the maximum amount respectively was related to the road construction, the construction in the foothills and the release of garbage and wastes in the geomorphosite core zone. Therefore, in the present research, a conservation framework has been developed in five sections: creation organizational support, assessment, hazard identification, conservation measurements and monitoring for conservation of geomorphological heritage and consequently stable development of Khorramabad urban geotourism.
Introduction
Geomorphological heritage are not limited to natural areas, rural and open spaces, but very valuable examples of it can be found in urban spaces. Urban geomorphological heritage can be defined simply as a geologically attractive location, and in particular geomorphological within a city. In recent years, the ideas of urban geological heritage, urban geomorphological heritage, and urban geotourism have been great importance among scientists and specialists. While, numerous human hazards, destroying and threatening, the city's geomorphological heritage, which are the main sources of geotourism development. Therefore, the offer a conservation program for urban geomorphological heritage is a fundamental necessity for the development of sustainable urban geotourism. The main objective of this research is Inventory and evaluate the geomorphological heritage of the core zone of Khorramabad and its buffer zone in order to introduce to tourists and to develop urban geotourism and offer a conservation program as a fundamental necessity for the development of sustainable urban geotourism.
Materials and methods
To achieve research purposes of this research, data such as geomorphological maps, geology and etc. have been used. To do this research, First Geomorphosites of core zone the city and buffer zone it's through fieldwork has been inventoried, then, based on the model of Pica et al. (2017), the geomorphosites have been evaluated. In the next step, using field studies and surveys, have been identified threatening human Hazards each geomorphosite. Finally, based on the results of evaluation the geomorphosites and the check of human hazards affecting them, has been proposed the conservation program of in danger geomorphosites to develop sustainable Geotourism.
Discus and Results
According to the field studies conducted in the area for the inventorying of geomorphosites, samples and various types of geomorphological heritage are inventoried. In assessing the geomorphological heritage, the Falakolaflak hills, has gained the top scores among the geomorphosites evaluated in terms of urban geotourism. What that has caused more damage to Khorramabad city's geomorphosites included road construction, construction (as a result of physical development of the city), and the spill garbage. Therefore, based on the results obtained and field studies, has been offer a conservation program for the urban geomorphosites of Khorramabad. This protection plan has been written in five sections: organizational support, evaluation, understanding the hazards, protective actions and monitoring<strong>.</strong>
Conclusion
According to the results of the research, the core zone and the buffer zone of Khorramabad city, has a lot of diversity of landforms, which has given the view and special beauty to this city. Part of this urban geomorphological heritage is anthropogenic or man-made phenomenon; but the problem that exists it is that these interventions and anthropogenic influences, if it is too much, become a completely negative and hazardous factor for the destruction of geomorphosites. Existing destructive effects show that is needed protective actions and after that to actions monitoring and continuous monitoring and the current protection rules to the extent that it seems are not protecting works and natural heritage. Therefore, serious action is needed in this regard.در سالهای اخیر ایدههای میراث ژئومورفولوژیک شهری و ژئوتوریسم شهری در بین دانشمندان و متخصصان، اهمیت زیادی یافته است<strong>.</strong> این در حالی است که مخاطرات انسانی مؤثر بر محیط طبیعی شهرها، موجب آسیب، تخریب و تهدید میراث ژئومورفولوژیکی شهری شده است؛ بنابراین ارزیابی میراث ژئومورفولوژیکی شهری و ارائۀ یک برنامۀ حفاظتی، ضرورتی بنیادی و لازمۀ توسعۀ ژئوتوریسم شهری پایدار بوده و هدف اصلی این تحقیق است. پژوهش حاضر بهصورت موردی در شهر خرمآباد انجام گرفت. این تحقیق با رویکردی یکپارچه و نوآورانه از طریق تلفیق مطالعات میدانی، ارزیابی کمّی میراث ژئومورفولوژیکی، بررسی عوامل آسیب و تخریب و در نهایت ارائۀ یک برنامۀ حفاظتی برای نخستین بار صورت گرفته است. دادههای تحقیق بیشتر از طریق مطالعات میدانی، منابع تصویری و نقشههای موضوعی تهیه شده است. ابزارهای مورد استفاده نیز شامل نقشههای موضوعی، ابزارهای میدانی و نرمافزارARC GIS 10.6 است. برای تجزیهوتحلیل از مدل پیکا و همکاران (2017) برای ارزیابی ژئومورفوسایتها و از کارهای میدانی نیز برای بررسی مخاطرات انسانی مؤثر بر آنها و ارائۀ برنامۀ حفاظتی بهره گرفته شده است. نتایج نشان داد که از میان 33 ژئومورفوسایت ارزیابیشده، تپۀ فلکالافلاک با 25، مخملکوه با 24 و تنگ شبیخون با 22 امتیاز، بیشترین امتیاز را برای توسعۀ ژئوتوریسم شهری کسب کردند. در بین مخاطرات تهدیدکنندۀ میراث ژئومورفولوژیکی، بیشترین سهم بهترتیب مربوط به راهسازی، ساختوساز در کوهپایهها و رهاسازی زبالهها و پسماندها در محدودۀ ژئومورفوسایتهاست؛ بنابراین در تحقیق حاضر یک چارچوب حفاظتی در پنج بخش ایجاد حمایت سازمانی، ارزیابی، شناخت مخاطرات، اقدامات حفاظتی و پایش برای حفاظت میراث ژئومورفولوژیکی و توسعۀ پایدار ژئوتوریسم شهری خرمآباد ارائه شده است.https://jhsci.ut.ac.ir/article_70901_cc9697f51994af31d4b28e7a7cf926ac.pdfانجمن مخاطره شناسی ایرانمدیریت مخاطرات محیطی2423-415X5420181222The Physical and Social Resilience Framework of the City Districts against the Earthquake
(Case Study: Keshavars District in Region 6 of Tehran City)چارچوب تابآوری کالبدی و اجتماعی محله در برابر زلزله (مطالعۀ موردی: محلۀ کشاورز واقع در منطقۀ 6 تهران)4174337115610.22059/jhsci.2019.278000.455FAفرشتهاصلانیدانشجوی دکتری پژوهشکدۀ مدیریت خطرپذیری و بحران، پژوهشگاه بینالمللی زلزلهشناسی و مهندسی زلزله، تهران، ایران.کامبدامینی حسینیدانشیار پژوهشکدۀ مدیریت خطرپذیری و بحران، پژوهشگاه بینالمللی زلزلهشناسی و مهندسی زلزله، تهران، ایران.علیرضافلاحیاستاد گروه سوانح و بازسازی، دانشکدۀ معماری و شهرسازی، دانشگاه شهید بهشتی، تهران، ایران.Journal Article20190221Despite several decades of valuable research by researchers in the field of disaster resilience, there are still many uncertainties about this issue. Perhaps the only thing that exists in this regard between consensus researchers is that the resilience is a complex, multifaceted, and multiple dimensional concept. This issue also has more uncertainties in the resilience of the neighborhoodcity districts, especially in social and physical aspects. However, improving the resilience of urban neighborhoods against a disaster such as an earthquake is important and can be exploited using the capacities and potentials available at these levels to reduce the possible consequences of the earthquake and return time to the previous and even better than before aAccelerated.
Accordingly, the purpose of this paper is to "develop a resilience framework to promote earthquake risk management at the neighborhood with an emphasis on physical and social dimensions." Also, identification of factors and indicators that affect earthquake and capacity building for earthquake risk management with a community-based approach in the framework developed to improve the resilience is another aspect of this study.
In order to create a framework for physical and social resilience of the neighborhood against earthquakes, first specialized texts and global experiences have been studied, and based on this, key components and indicators of physical and social resilience of the neighborhood have been deduced. To determine the sub-indices, the four-dimensional framework of Bruneau was selected as the basis for this field of study. After deducing the indicators, the AHP (Analytic Hierarchy Process) method was used to achieve their weight and prioritize them. Subsequently, by selecting a neighboring unit from Keshavarz district in region 6 of Tehran, observations were done and descriptive and analytical maps were prepared in CAD and GIS softwares. Then by SWOT technique, strengths, weaknesses, opportunities and threats were identified. The SWOT table was analyzed with respect to the weight of the indicators and a final strategy was proposed to enhance the resilience of the case study.
This article concludes that the 4 criteria of Bruneau (4R), including "Robustness", "Resourcefulness", "Redundancy" and "Rapidity", in promoting earthquake resilience, despite providing a good foundation, in the "neighborhood scale" are not complete and comprehensive. In addition to the 4R, in order to achieve a resilient neighborhood, there are other criteria such as "flexibility", "compatibility", "diversity", "centralization", "density", "enclosure", "legibility" , "regularity", "balance", "collaboration", and "cohesion" are also considered. با وجود چند دهه تحقیقات ارزشمند پژوهشگران در زمینۀ تابآوری در برابر سانحه، هنوز ابهامات بسیاری در این حوزه وجود دارد. تنها موردی که در این زمینه بین پژوهشگران اجماع وجود دارد این است که تابآوری مفهومی پیچیده، چندجانبه و چندبعدی است. این موضوع در ارزیابی تابآوری محله، ابعاد نامشخص بیشتری (بهویژه در جنبههای اجتماعی و کالبدی) پیدا میکند؛ حال آنکه بهبود تابآوری محلات شهری در برابر مخاطراتی مانند زلزله اهمیت زیادی دارد و میتوان با استفاده از ظرفیتهای موجود در محلات، تبعات احتمالی زلزله را کاهش داد و زمان بازگشت به حالت پیش از سانحه و حتی وضعیتی بهتر از آن را سرعت بخشید. بر این اساس، هدف از مقالۀ حاضر، «تدوین چارچوب تابآوری برای ارتقای مدیریت ریسک زلزله در محله با تأکید بر ابعاد کالبدی و اجتماعی» است. همچنین شناخت عوامل و شاخصهای تأثیرگذار در کاهش تبعات زلزله و ظرفیتسازی برای مدیریت ریسک زلزله با رویکرد محلهمحوری، از دیگر موضوعات بررسیشده در این پژوهش است. برای تدوین چارچوب تابآوری کالبدی و اجتماعی محله در برابر زلزله، ابتدا متون تخصصی و تجارب جهانی بررسی شده و مؤلفههای مهم و شاخصهای اصلی تابآوری کالبدی و اجتماعی محله استنتاج شد. سپس برای مشخص کردن شاخصهای فرعی، «چارچوب چهارگانۀ برونو» بهعنوان مبنای شناختهشده در این حوزه انتخاب شد. پس از استنتاج شاخصها، با هدف وزندهی و اولویتبندی آنها از روش فرایند تحلیل سلسلهمراتبی AHP استفاده شد. در ادامه با انتخاب یک واحد همسایگی از محلۀ کشاورز در منطقۀ 6 تهران، مشاهدات و برداشتهای میدانی انجام گرفت و نقشههای توصیفی و تحلیلی در نرمافزار CAD و GIS تهیه شد. سپس با استفاده از روش سوات، قوتها، ضعفها، فرصتها و تهدیدهای محله تدوین شد. در ادامه، جدول سوات با در نظر گرفتن وزن شاخصها تحلیل شده و راهبرد نهایی برای ارتقای تابآوری محدودۀ مطالعاتی پیشنهاد شد. این مقاله نتیجه میگیرد که «معیارهای چهارگانۀ برونو» شامل «استحکام»، «چندگانگی»، «سرعت» و «غنی بودن» در ارتقای تابآوری در برابر زلزله، علیرغم فراهم کردن پایهای خوب، در «مقیاس محله و واحد همسایگی»، جامع نیستند و باید برای دستیابی به یک محلۀ تابآور در برابر زلزله، در کنار معیارهای چهارگانۀ برونو، معیارهای دیگری نظیر «انعطافپذیری»، «سازگاری»، «تنوع»، «تمرکز»، «تراکم»، «محصوریت»، «خوانایی»، «نظم»، «تعادل»، «همکاری» و «همبستگی» نیز در نظر گرفته شوند.https://jhsci.ut.ac.ir/article_71156_3747dbfaef0e37fe3101895d1dbf9cb2.pdfانجمن مخاطره شناسی ایرانمدیریت مخاطرات محیطی2423-415X5420181222Geographical Survey of Chlorine Gas Leakage at the Chlorination Station of Abfa Company Using Aloha Software
(Case Study: Lar Station)بررسی جغرافیایی مخاطرۀ انتشار گاز کلر در ایستگاه کلرزنی شرکت آبفا با استفاده از نرمافزار Aloha4354487115810.22059/jhsci.2019.277345.451FAافشینجعفرنیادانشجوی دکتری جغرافیا، واحد لارستان، دانشگاه آزاد اسلامی، لارستان، ایراناحمدعلیخرم بختاستادیار گروه جغرافیا، واحد لارستان، دانشگاه آزاد اسلامی، لارستان، ایرانعبدالرسولقنبریاستادیار گروه جغرافیا، واحد لارستان، دانشگاه آزاد اسلامی، لارستان، ایرانJournal Article20190222Abstract
Chlorine is a toxic gas and oxidant that is used in Iran to treat drinking water. Failure to investigate the effects of gas leakage or reservoir explosion can cause irreparable damage to employees and residents around the station. So far, no research has been done on this issue in Lar. The present study studies the release of chlorine gas from a one-ton reservoir at Lar chlorinchlorine station. In this paper, using Aloha software, we examine the nature, extent, rate of propagation, and various risk areas and vulnerable populations. Investigations show that the gas release in the event of damage to a one-inch valve can result in a deadly radius of 1.5 kilometers, effective 5 kilometerskilometers’ radius and Can be felt up to 10 kilometers. It was also found that in the warm season in the first minute about 400 kg, and in the cold season 330 kg of gas can be removed from a hole in the diameter of one inch. Due to the possibility of occurrence of the incident and the location of the station in the direction of the prevailing wind, there is the possibility of harming a large number of citizens located at a radius of 5 kilometers from the station. Therefore, taking effective steps, such as: informing the residents, increasing awareness of the staff and the relief forces, installing proper scrubbers and increasing the level of safety of the station are necessary.
Introduction
A chemical leak is a serious threat to the air quality and occupational safety of residents near its leakage site. Despite the large efforts of factories and industries to manage chemicals safely, there is always the possibility of devastating and fatal accidents. In many cases incidents are not understood, predicted or avoided. Getting ready to respond to these crises at the time and place of occurrence requires the identification and assessment of high-risk locations. The incidence of accidents in densely populated areas has a wider impact on society. The extent of the damage caused by these incidents depends on the extent of expansion, the first reaction to the incident, the incident and the surrounding area. An appropriate response to these conditions requires an appropriate coordination between individuals and local institutions. This occurs when the level of awareness in society increases the risk and the need for mutual preparedness to deal with it.
In our country, despite the importance of the hazards of exposure to chemicals, are generally programmed to respond to emergencies, taking into account the nature of the various materials and their respective risks, the level of risk and their range of exposure in a manner that is as effective as possible in the shortest time possible, There is not.
One of the most potentially damaging materials that is widely used today in the industry is chlorine gas. A large number of major industrial incidents in the last century have been related to the release of this toxic gas in the environment. Chlorine is used in the manufacture of plastic materials or other materials for the treatment of water and sewage, as well as the manufacture of refrigerants, glues, insecticides, drugs, disinfectants, bleachers and other consumer products. One of the sources of chlorine emissions from a water treatment plant in Iran is August 14, 2017 in Dezful, which left one dead and 509 injured, so it is best if possible to replace the chlorination system with a purification system with Ozone is a more modern, safe and effective way.
Ozone is one of the compounds that, according to its specific properties, has been used by European countries for nearly a century as a disintegration in drinking water. The first application of ozone was made in 1893 in the Netherlands and was fed to a refinery that fed the Rhine River. Today, more than 1,000 water treatment station use ozone as part of a chemical treatment, most of which are in the western countries, especially France, Switzerland and Canada. The largest ozone depletion facility has been used in the regions of Paris and Montreal.
Software modeling is a quick and accurate way to predict the extent of material release and simulate its consequences. Because the available mathematical models for sequencing modeling involve complex and time-consuming computations, the use of simulation software at this stage is important and because the evaluation of the consequences of hazards such as the release of high-risk chemicals in the environment, one of the most important and essential steps to increase the level of safety in existing or developing units is the importance of using more software with more capabilities. The purpose of the assessment is to determine the extent of the potential hazards and incidents of fire, explosion and distribution of toxic substances.
After modeling the probable events that can occur in a process, it is time to assess the effects and consequences of the incidents, which can be classified into the two categories of consequences of the toxicity of released materials in the environment and the consequences of the explosion of abandoned materials In the environment. One of the information's necessary to assess the outcome of process events is vulnerability criteria, which, after using the scenario modeling stage, to analyze the extent of possible damage, should compare each outcome with standards that indicate the degree of damage.
Due to the location of the Clare gas reservoir near the town of Lar and its location in the direction of the dominant winds of the region, as well as its location located at an altitude higher than the city, it is necessary to consider the possibility of leaking this gas heavily Poisonous and hazardous, for this purpose, he purposes of this study is to investigate the possible scenarios of chlorine gas release at the Abfa chlorine station. One of the scenarios with a high probability of occurrence is the possibility of failure and leakage of gas from the outlet tubes, which is one inch in diameter. This study examines the occurrence of this happening in the summer.
Materials and Methods
In order to investigate the risk of chlorine emissions and to calculate the release method, the amount of dispersion and radius of damage, it is necessary to collect data including the physical and chemical properties of chlorine gas, the climate of the region, storage location and use of gas, storage tank type, shape, size And reservoir capacity. At first, the weather information of the area was extracted from the Meteorological Organization's Statistical Yearbook. Then, by referring to the station, information about the location of the reservoir and its type were collected.
Since the existing mathematical models for outcome modeling include complex calculations and very timely, the use of simulation software at this stage is important. In order to model the distribution, propagation speed, dispersion rate, and the radius of modeling impact by software, a quick and accurate method for Anticipating the extent of its material release and simulating its consequences has been exploited by ALOHA software, one of the free software for air pollutant release. The software is provided by the US Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) to model incidents caused by the release of toxic, explosive, or explosive fire or explosive substances. The software has a very rich database (more than 1,000 chemical materials) and a simple environment to prevent user mistakes.
Discus and Results
As mentioned earlier, the most important criterion in the rate of diffusion and diffusion of gas is wind speed and air temperature. Therefore, considering the climatic conditions of the area, the calculations were carried out in two seasons (warm and cold). According to the climatic averages table for the warm season, the average temperature is 34.4 ° C. Relative humidity is 35%, wind speed is 16 m/s and the wind direction for the western wind and for the cold season average temperature is 11.8 ° C, relative humidity 60% Wind speed is 9 m/s and the direction of the wind blowing is considered. Also, the cloud cover is 5% and the fracture in the tank's outlet valve, which has a diameter of one inch. According to the calculations made in the software, It was also found that more reservoir storage is evacuated in less than 5 minutes in almost all cold and hot seasons. The average discharge rate is 390 kg / min, but in the first minute it is about 400 kg in the warm season and about 330 kg in the cold season is discharged from the reservoir. Another output of the software is the radius of gas emission and its concentration for 60 minutes, which shows that in the warm season, 1.5 km of concentration to 20 ppm, in the range of 5 km concentration of 2 ppm, within 10 km of concentration to ppm 0.5. In the cold season, in the range of 1.4 km of concentration to 20 ppm, in the range of 4 km, the concentration of concentration in ppm 2, reaches 6.8 km to the concentration of 0.5 ppm.
Conclusion
It can be concluded from the findings of this study that the release of chlorine gas in the event of damage to its outlet valve in the warm season will be broader than the cold season in general, but it covers the area of hazardous emissions in both seasons to a point in the city. Which includes important uses and high population densities such as the only city hospital, Azad University, Mehr hosing Area, the largest city stadium and a large number of major city departments. Also, this area includes one of the most important links between the two cities of Larestan and Gharash (Dadman Highway), which always has high traffic. According to the location of the station in the direction of the wind direction of the region and the emission range up to 2 ppm, it is clear that the whole area of the new city of Lar is at risk of gas emissions, and it is possible to harm a large number of citizens located at a radius of 5 km from the station Therefore, effective measures such as informing the residents, increasing the level of awareness of the staff and the relief forces, installing proper scrubbers and increasing the level of safety of the station are necessary. According to calculations, diagrams and maps, it is clear that in a radius of 1.5 km the emission is extremely dangerous and deadly, and up to a radius of 5 km, there is a possibility of serious and long-term complications for people and deprives them of the ability to escape. Considering the possibility of such a critical occurrence is very high, it is necessary to first install scrubbers for chlorination stations and the staff of the training station will be trained to deal with this situation. It should be noted that due to the speed of evacuation of materials, it is possible to arrive at the time of other relief forces It is therefore necessary to have the equipment necessary for staff and guards in place so that they can be responded promptly and appropriately in case of occurrence, it seems that, if possible, alert systems are available for hazardous areas and to People are taught how Faced with this situation.کلر، گازی سمی و اکسیدکننده است که در ایران برای تصفیۀ آب آشامیدنی از آن استفاده میشود. بررسی نکردن تأثیر نشت گاز یا انفجار مخزن، ممکن است آسیبهای جبرانناپذیری به کارکنان و ساکنان اطراف ایستگاه وارد آورد. تا کنون پژوهشی دربارۀ این مسئله در شهر لار صورت نگرفته است. در این تحقیق، انتشار گاز کلر از مخزن یکتنی ایستگاه کلرزنی لار بررسی شده است. برای این کار با استفاده از نرمافزار Aloha به بررسی نحوه، میزان، سرعت انتشار و محدودههای مختلف خطر و جمعیت در معرض مخاطره پرداخته شد. بررسیها نشان میدهد که انتشار گاز در صورت آسیب دیدن شیر یکاینچی خروجی مخزن، ممکن است تا شعاع ۱٫۵ کیلومتری کشنده و تا شعاع ۵ کیلومتری مؤثر باشد و تا ۱۰ کیلومتری حس شود. همچنین مشخص شد که در دقیقۀ اول، در فصل گرم حدود 400 کیلوگرم و در فصل سرد 330 کیلوگرم از گاز میتواند از سوراخی به قطر یک اینچ خارج شود. با توجه به امکان وقوع حادثه و محل قرارگیری ایستگاه در جهت باد غالب، آسیب رسیدن به تعداد زیادی از شهروندان ساکن در شعاع ۵ کیلومتری ایستگاه محتمل است. از اینرو کارهای مؤثری همچون آگاهی رساندن به ساکنان، افزایش آگاهی کارکنان و نیروهای امدادی، نصب اسکرابر مناسب و افزایش سطح ایمنی ایستگاه ضرورت دارد.https://jhsci.ut.ac.ir/article_71158_ac655f88eca86ad9e84f179b0256f197.pdf